Gladden, Matthew E. “A Better Way of Forecasting Employees’ Performance: Evaluating the use of composite ceiling-floor models for predicting the likely range of workers’ future job performance.” Medium.com, March 12, 2023.
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Summary. This text is Part 3 of a three-article series on “Advanced modelling of workers’ future performance ranges through ANNs with custom loss functions.” It demonstrates how custom ceiling and floor models can be combined to create a composite prediction interval that can outperform simpler models based on MAE or SD in forecasting the probable range of workers’ future job performance.